Quote:
Originally Posted by russellw
The NSW 14 day rolling average is currently 8.8 while Victoria is still 118. Even using a 7-day rolling average, Victoria is better with 91 but NSW is over 10.
If the target is really <7 then Victoria has a long way to go and my modelling shows that it would be late October before we got into single digits and NSW is probably equally marginal.
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7 isn't a quoted target, it was just what the modelling suggested. I think the modelling makes a number of assumptions e.g. Contact tracing is not improved. I have heard the number 10 being mentioned previously.