Re: Covid 19 -
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Although NSW avoided reaching the peaks predicted in the early modelling which predicted > 2000 daily cases and actually peaked on day 87 with 1,603 cases before starting to trend (albeit erratically) downward, Victoria is still trending upward at the same stage despite the fact that the initial growth rate was slower.
The predictive model above shows that 2,500 cases a day could be passed in the next 8 days unless the trend starts to reverse quickly.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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